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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 502d |  tourists5 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,033 | +$145 +0.6% | 4 |
| 502d |  aenews210 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $105,018 | +$2,019 +1.9% | 5 |
| 502d | e322 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 502d |  MoMBonds3 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,275 | +$89 +1.0% | 4 |
| 502d |  Euan | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,556 | −$27 −0.6% | — |
| 502d |  MrNFT | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 502d |  b4k9xj2wh2 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,970 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 502d |  Car4 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $14,420 | +$645 +4.5% | 5 |
| 502d |  pup1 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | −$26 −1.9% | — |
| 502d | pup1 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | +$22 +1.5% | 4 |
| 502d | borntoolate.eth | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
| 502d | Euan4 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $14,101 | +$571 +4.1% | 4 |
| 502d |  Naichli4 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,699 | +$163 +1.3% | 4 |
| 502d | 6482f | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$36 −3.0% | — |
| 502d | Naichli2 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,927 | −$1,049 −21% | — |
| 502d | aviato2 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,982 | +$36 +1.2% | 4 |
| 502d |  asdfasfdasfdas | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,956 | +$44 +1.1% | 4 |
| 502d |  MisTKy32 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | +$287 +6.3% | 4 |
| 502d | dontshowmyname | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$133 −11% | — |
| 502d |  Eridpnc | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$418 +32% | 12 |
| 502d |  c3rberus | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$557 −54% | — |
| 502d |  HNIC | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$498 +49% | 14 |
| 502d | Rekt345 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | +$711 +52% | 14 |
| 502d | d56ygfdsfgyu87 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | −$1,035 −100% | 12 |
| 503d | bfip | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $3,014 | −$3,014 −100% | 12 |
| 503d |  MEPP | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 9 |
| 503d |  mostobesegoldfish3 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $5,369 | +$12,991 +242% | 16 |
PRESIDENTEJavierMilei6,943 shares
Hecto882,813 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.