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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225d | EliseCarroll | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 277d |  ComingBack | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$26 +2.2% | 4 |
| 296d |  CosmicCedar | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | zhuo1an9 | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,356 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
jaycz134 sharesIf Jia Yueting enters mainland China by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30, 2026 means the market gives it about 0%.