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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,525 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 407d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,316 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 407d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,450 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 407d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,607 | +$181 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 407d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$44 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between September 8, 4:00 pm ET, and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public appearance includes, for example, an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For instance, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes". Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.