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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814d | professorx | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,624 | +$39 +0.1% | 10 |
| 815d | Kapii2 fills | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,016 | −$63 −1.6% | — |
| 815d | Peter666 | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 |
| 815d | Olivia5111 | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,124 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 815d |  fhantombets2 fills | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,049 | +$16 +0.5% | 10 |
| 816d | Jacob3666 | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 816d | Julie3515 | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$12 +1.1% | 10 |
| 816d | Richard2121 | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$9 +0.8% | 10 |
| 821d | saojga | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$13 +1.2% | 10 |
| 823d |  TheAugur2 fills | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,834 | +$57 +1.5% | 10 |
| 824d |  aenews22 fills | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$583 +21% | 10 |
| 824d |  ImJustKen | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$314 +25% | 10 |
| 824d |  scottilicious | Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | +$414 +24% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin announces he's running for the Democratic Nomination for the 2024 US Presidential race by July 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.