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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813d | lug | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,269 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 813d | professorx | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 817d |  kdubhotsauce | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$64 +2.9% | 10 |
| 824d |  Car | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$67 +6.4% | 10 |
| 829d |  ImJustKen | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 10 |
| 852d | zZQ8xU4Btx | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$467 +22% | 10 |
| 855d |  New.Jeans | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$341 +21% | 10 |
| 857d | lug | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,768 | +$692 +25% | 10 |
| 858d | 0xaf | Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$471 +34% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin announces that he is running for governor of West Virginia in the 2024 election by August 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Manchin announces that he will not run for governor of West Virginia in this election, or that he will run for another position, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Joe Manchin and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible data will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.