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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 790d | PM777 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,899 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 790d |  Slimedart | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,089 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 790d |  09432 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,995 | +$45 +0.6% | 4 |
| 790d |  Pidor🐓2 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,491 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 790d |  TimeQuestion | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,975 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 790d | Dick Cheney | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,512 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 790d |  pirateshere | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,289 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 790d |  Apsalar3 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,306 | +$34 +0.3% | 4 |
| 790d | markitzero6 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $33,775 | +$2,460 +7.3% | 4 |
| 790d | aviato | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,801 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 790d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito4 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $28,819 | +$946 +3.3% | 4 |
| 790d | XMR-9332 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,624 | +$427 +16% | 5 |
| 790d | Pondermint3 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,040 | −$158 −3.1% | — |
| 790d | nada | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$50 +4.2% | 4 |
| 790d | Dick Cheney | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,564 | +$190 +4.2% | 4 |
| 790d |  YoungGriff | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$121 +6.4% | 4 |
| 790d |  JJo3 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$524 +15% | 5 |
| 790d | fundamentalmisunderstanding | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$450 +15% | 5 |
| 790d | JJo | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | −$195 −16% | — |
| 790d |  fhantombets | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,572 | −$487 −14% | — |
| 790d |  TrumpCouch2024 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$174 +12% | 5 |
| 790d |  BustedCungly2 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $6,109 | −$1,553 −25% | — |
| 790d |  truthteller | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,904 | +$429 +15% | 5 |
| 790d | BustedCungly2 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,352 | +$1,310 +21% | 5 |
| 790d | fhantombets | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,489 | +$821 +24% | 5 |
| 790d |  Wloczega | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | −$440 −25% | — |
| 790d | Wloczega2 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $5,381 | +$1,851 +34% | 6 |
| 791d | xyz12345 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | −$773 −33% | — |
| 791d | Pondermint | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$547 +22% | 5 |
| 791d | L114 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $5,348 | +$1,496 +28% | 5 |
| 791d | ZXCVBNM-256 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$954 +26% | 4 |
| 791d |  nnimrodd | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$427 +35% | 4 |
| 791d | xyz12345 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,591 | +$546 +21% | 4 |
| 791d |  spacebike | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$305 +23% | 4 |
| 792d |  carp | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,915 | +$174 +9.1% | 4 |
| 792d | XMR-933 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$375 −33% | — |
| 792d | HopeWins | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$401 −33% | — |
| 792d | HopeWins | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$205 +14% | 4 |
| 792d | agggr | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 5 |
| 792d | Conduit2 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 792d |  ISMS2222 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 792d |  Secret14thKey | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$762 +44% | 4 |
| 792d | Slimedart2 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | +$468 +14% | 4 |
| 792d | Bink_72 fills | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,566 | −$2,566 −100% | 5 |
| 792d |  aenews2 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$1,159 +80% | 4 |
| 793d |  TheGuru-791 | Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August? | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$1,296 +117% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 US Presidential election than Donald Trump for any continuous period of 2 hours or greater, between August 22, 2024, 12 PM ET, and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, according to Polymarket. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). Note that Harris's odds needs to be strictly greater than Trump's for the continuous 2 hour period for this market to resolve to "Yes."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.