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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | 94¢ · >99¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791d |  AgricultureSecretary | Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers? | BuyKamala>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 791d |  ImJustKen | Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers? | BuyKamala97¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$57 +3.1% | 4 |
| 792d | ImJustKen | Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers? | BuyTrump21¢ → 0¢ | $2,184 | −$2,184 −100% | 8 |
| 792d |  🍝👹 | Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers? | BuyKamala92¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$105 +8.7% | 4 |
| 792d |  nnimrodd | Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers? | BuyKamala92¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$93 +8.7% | 4 |
25.38 million people tuned in to the last night of the 2024 Republican National Convention (RNC) on July 18 according to Nielsen. You can read more about that here: https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/over-25-million-viewers-tune-in-for-final-night-of-2024-republican-national-convention/ This market will resolve to "Kamala" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has more viewers than the final night of the RNC. This market will resolve to "Trump" if the final night of the 2024 RNC has more viewers than the final night of the DNC. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.