Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 720d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $44,399 | +$855 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 721d | Powerful-Citrus | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,484 | −$72 −2.1% | — |
| 721d | HBCM3 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,771 | −$869 −9.9% | — |
| 725d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$82 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 725d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,653 | +$496 +8.8% | 4 | |
| 728d | SteezyD1232 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,452 | −$1,114 −13% | — |
| 730d | H4RE | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$90 −8.7% | — |
| 737d | DEMONCRAT | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | −$296 −19% | — |
| 738d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,463 | −$1,215 −16% | — | |
| 740d | georgejetson2 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,231 | −$564 −17% | — |
| 743d | lug3 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,631 | +$1,927 +34% | 4 |
| 747d | georgejetson4 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $7,059 | +$4,466 +63% | 4 |
| 748d | OPMSucks2 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,960 | −$605 −20% | — |
| 749d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | −$338 −24% | — | |
| 750d | Craigb7 | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,582 | −$607 −24% | — |
| 751d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,226 | +$1,226 +100% | — | |
| 753d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$526 −50% | — | |
| 756d | InsiderrrZ | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | −$734 −54% | — |
| 757d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $35,561 | −$35,561 −100% | 4 | |
| 757d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | −$584 −43% | — | |
| 757d | Craigb7 | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$1,604 +98% | 4 |
| 757d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | −$2,674 −150% | — | |
| 758d | HBCM2 fills | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $3,241 | +$5,516 +170% | 7 |
| 758d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo30¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$2,800 +233% | 5 | |
| 759d | DEMONCRAT | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo32¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$6,376 +212% | 8 |
| 762d | SteezyD123 | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,777 +137% | 4 |
| 766d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | +$1,058 +100% | — | |
| 772d | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$1,772 +108% | 4 | |
| 776d | Powerful-CitrusNew account | Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | +$2,099 +110% | 19 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris announces that she publicly supports a tax on unrealized gains by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will only resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris explicitly states her support of having a tax on unrealized gains. If the proposed tax is only for certain individuals (i.e. high net worth individuals), this market will still resolve to "Yes." If Harris broadly states she agrees with Biden's policy proposals, and one of Biden's policy proposals is to tax unrealized gains, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - she must explicitly support the specific proposal. This market will only resolve based on official announcements by Kamala Harris and/or her representatives. These announcements must occur after this market's creation date (August 20).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.