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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 27% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 50¢ (47¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,832 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 348d |  silkroad | Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$18 +1.7% | 2 |
| 360d |  WatchTheTape2 fills | Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,016 | +$240 +8.0% | 2 |
| 362d |  0xdc3E831cad | Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$146 +11% | 2 |
kenshin211 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 27¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 27%.