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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:00 PM ET | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 6:00 PM ET | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214d | 2:00 PM ET | SellYes>99¢ | $1,382 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 214d | Test669 | 2:00 PM ET | SellYes>99¢ | $1,379 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,659 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $4,372 | −$4,372 −100% | 6 | |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | −$284 −25% | — | |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$301 −25% | — | |
| 215d | randomlypunting4 fills | 2:00 PM ET | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $7,112 | +$1,518 +21% | 4 |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $2,776 | +$3,752 +135% | 5 | |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,430 | −$1,430 −100% | 4 | |
| 215d | 2:00 PM ET | BuyYes12¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$10,002 +729% | 6 | |
| 215d | 6:00 PM ET | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,438 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 215d | 6:00 PM ET | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,317 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs LaGuardia Airport (LGA) between market creation and the specified time ET on March 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that LGA has reopened alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/KLGA); however, information from LGA, the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 2:00 PM ET means the market gives it about 100%.