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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 11% | +5 pts | +3 pts | 2¢ · 19¢ (17¢) | — | in 37d |
| December 31 | 34% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 33¢ · 35¢ (2¢) | $377 | in 68d |
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Haradwaith90 shares
clazzy1275 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 11¢ for November 30 means the market gives it about 11%.