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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lara Trump announces that she is running for United States senator from North Carolina in the 2025 midterm election, by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Lara Trump will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually files a nomination to run, or whether she later files a nomination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Lara Trump (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.