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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 666d |  RockyZet | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,027 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 666d | RockyZet | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,027 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 666d |  aenews2 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,068 | +$32 +0.1% | 4 |
| 666d |  456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,043 | +$146 +0.3% | 4 |
| 666d | derekac | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,696 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 666d | derekac | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,002 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 666d |  Car9 fills | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $45,046 | +$560 +1.2% | 4 |
| 666d | zlvjm | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,594 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 666d | KilianBritney | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,564 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 666d | KilianBritney | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,564 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | razs | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,571 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | yabuud | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,576 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | hannahferris | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,581 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | zebadiahmyra | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,587 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | af27v | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,592 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | FALCONs-430 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,599 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | zlvjm | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,594 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | KelvinKirk | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,585 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | hltyv | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,600 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | kupv | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,593 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | mptza | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,620 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | gbus | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,610 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | gmrs | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,625 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | vzbcc | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,611 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | islandvalley | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,622 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | Merlin3w | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,622 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | zfdgb | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,664 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 666d | EdanaQuenna | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,659 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | hefdr | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,668 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | marckayleigh | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,660 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | 6468858 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,675 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | ddhu | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,669 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | NoblemanLeonard | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,692 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | iyzdy | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,668 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | kouj | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,684 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | sfcrd | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,660 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | SapphireIgor | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,674 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | hzw | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,674 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | qtiro | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,690 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | gnnlx | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,670 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | Deirdres | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,684 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | g1ehe | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,673 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | nsz | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,689 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | 5368085 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,689 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d |  Master-bettor | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,044 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 667d | Master-bettor | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,046 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d |  mochiko | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 667d | littlesister | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,443 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 667d | littlesister | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,445 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 668d | Royalbob | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 668d |  itsfine | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,989 | −$270 −1.0% | — |
| 668d | 0xb9a274d149fb9f9d9185fafb4e0539e30d0d479b2 fills | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,437 | −$89 −1.6% | — |
| 668d | NateNate60 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$28 +2.1% | 4 |
| 668d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,063 | −$183 −3.0% | — |
| 668d | longtern2 fills | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,533 | −$51 −1.5% | — |
| 668d | tf2 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,675 | −$225 −1.9% | — |
| 668d | Car2 fills | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,034 | −$523 −4.3% | — |
| 668d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,930 | +$70 +0.4% | 4 |
| 668d | longtern | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,781 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 668d | tf2 | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,819 | +$71 +0.6% | 4 |
Pekapoo381 shares
BurjSneakas20 sharesOn December 9, 2024, police detained Luigi Mangione in Altoona, Pennsylvania, in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mangione pleads guilty to any charges stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Only guilty pleas to charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. a guilty plea to charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify). The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.