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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d |  unbribeableref3 fills | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,493 | +$360 +4.8% | 4 |
| 86d | Damaged-Continuity | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$48 −3.9% | — |
| 91d | Damaged-Continuity | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$203 +19% | 4 |
Dr.PNL465 shares
RK777416 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Loan deals will qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.