| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 811 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $792 | +$5 +0.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 360 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $304 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 300 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $280 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 223 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $197 | +$8 +4.2% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 166 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $158 | +$5 +3.4% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$7 +7.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 983 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $89 | −$23 −21% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 237 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $88 | −$8 −8.1% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 522 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $86 | −$15 −15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 60 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $59 | +$3 +5.4% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 60 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 60 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $57 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 220 | 31¢ → 25¢ | $55 | −$13 −19% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 55 | 78¢ → >99¢ | $55 | +$12 +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 60 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $54 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 60 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $54 | +$8 +18% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 438d | No | 60 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $51 | −$3 −5.4% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 15d | No | 120 | 27¢ → 42¢ | $50 | +$18 +56% |
| Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 52 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $47 | −$0 −0.3% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 60 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $47 | +$4 +9.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 302 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 73d | Yes | 46 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $44 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 60 | 52¢ → 70¢ | $42 | +$10 +34% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 60 | 28¢ → 67¢ | $40 | +$23 +138% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 42 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 40 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 38 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 300 | 6¢ → 11¢ | $33 | +$15 +85% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 33 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $33 | +$6 +24% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 38 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.9% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 30 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 104d | Yes | 142 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $29 | −$4 −12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 58 | 61¢ → 49¢ | $29 | −$7 −20% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 29 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 29 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $27 | $0 0.0% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 30 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $26 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 203 | 19¢ → 12¢ | $23 | −$14 −38% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 495 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $22 | −$61 −73% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 23 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 22 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 23 | 53¢ → 93¢ | $22 | +$9 +75% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 73d | No | 21 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 50 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $20 | −$3 −12% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 490 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $18 | −$35 −65% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 43 | 33¢ → 43¢ | $18 | +$4 +30% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 19 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 21 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $18 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 8d | Yes | 19 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 41d | Yes | 43 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 173 | 24¢ → 9¢ | $16 | −$26 −63% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 18 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $15 | +$2 +12% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 263 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $13 | −$34 −73% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 87 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $13 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 12 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 12 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 73d | Yes | 15 | 42¢ → 76¢ | $11 | +$5 +80% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | Yes | 49 | 32¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$5 −33% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 59 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $11 | −$2 −18% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 60 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $11 | −$7 −41% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 60 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $10 | −$2 −13% |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Ends in 12d | No | 9 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.0% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 9 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 205 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$16 −66% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 45 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.3% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 823d | No | 30 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$3 −29% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 65 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 42 | 56¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$18 −74% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 7 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 72 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$1 −20% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$7 −61% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 72 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 104d | Yes | 43 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$1 −16% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 11d | Something | 33 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −61% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 76d | Yes | 19 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$5 −78% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Ends in 73d | Yes | 55 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −22% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Ends in 73d | Yes | 46 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 16 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −52% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $0 | +$0 +65% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 66 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 3 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −37% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 344 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 293 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,424 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 478 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 224 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 184 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 468 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,679 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,067 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 208 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,767 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$188 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 937 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
