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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will. The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.