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Polymarket wallet 0x3f02308a79d6fe398f23f37dda704666e6637bed · on Polymarket since Aug 1, 2023 · also shown as Organic-Reaction
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$6 +122% |
| GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$3 +99% |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 34¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +194% |
| Will Biden finish his term?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +39% |
| Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.