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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | −28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 30, 2025 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352d |  dfghfdghdfgh | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,246 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 352d |  probability6 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,363 | +$31 +0.2% | 20 |
| 352d |  Allinnothing3 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,970 | +$98 +1.0% | 20 |
| 352d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,131 | +$34 +0.2% | 20 |
| 352d |  Slowroasted | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,548 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 352d | Michael5289 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 352d |  intelmarketmaker2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$911 +11% | 20 |
| 352d | HotDogs | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 352d |  Gemini456 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,182 | +$24 +0.4% | 20 |
| 352d | intelmarketmaker3 fills | November 30, 2025 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$471 +6.7% | 20 |
| 352d | Newshound | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | +$114 +4.1% | 20 |
| 352d | Adrimarket | November 30, 2025 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$112 +7.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi announces that she will retire from representing California's 11th Congressional District by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of her retirement may be immediate, at the end of her current term, or at any point in between. Any qualifying announcement from Pelosi will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced resignation goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Pelosi or one of her official representatives.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.