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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d |  wowfarm | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 574d |  Mr.Eggplant | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,365 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 590d |  KimJonEn | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | −$47 −2.5% | — |
| 596d | Absolute-Macadamia | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$76 −4.1% | — |
| 599d | commeowder3 fills | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,858 | +$1,162 +20% | 4 |
| 617d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$198 +12% | 4 |
| 676d | Absolute-Macadamia | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$418 +28% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.