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Polymarket wallet 0xab9ec2b08980c1ef5a509fe30787bdb7196bbc2b · on Polymarket since Dec 17, 2024 · also shown as Ironclad-Bagpipe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $45 | +$5 +14% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 259 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 146 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 627d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ | $40 |
| 648d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $20 |
| 659d | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | BuyYes15¢ | $10 |
| 674d | Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 674d | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | BuyYes25¢ | $20 |
| 674d | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | BuyNo69¢ | $20 |
| 674d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyYes19¢ | $5 |
| 674d | Assad public appearance before 2025? | BuyNo82¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.