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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 474d | Ordon | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 474d |  rep2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 474d | Certify0148 | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | −$72 −3.2% | — |
| 475d |  betwick | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | −$15 −1.1% | — |
| 480d | PedroGonzales2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$65 +2.9% | 20 |
| 481d |  Red781RuM | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$110 +4.4% | 20 |
| 486d |  kaedama | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,405 | +$106 +4.4% | 20 |
| 486d | avocado429472 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | +$204 +5.3% | 20 |
| 494d | betwick | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$307 +28% | 20 |
| 513d | Certify0148 | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$656 +44% | 20 |
| 526d |  Parz1vaI | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$853 −78% | — |
| 546d | ttaten | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,614 | −$1,614 −100% | 20 |
| 589d | Zythelion | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $33,093 | +$33,093 +100% | — |
| 590d | Draythar | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $42,119 | +$33,093 +79% | 20 |
| 606d | Cryptotigerone | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | SellNo44¢ → 100¢ | $38,280 | −$48,720 −127% | — |
| 606d | CRV20U | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $58,290 | −$58,290 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases the weights of a reasoning model (e.g., o1, o3) or a large language model (LLM) that is as advanced as GPT-3 by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Multimodal models (e.g., DALL·E, vision-language models), speech or audio-based models (e.g., Whisper), specialized AI agents or reinforcement learning models (e.g., robotics, AlphaCode-like systems) or models that otherwise do not meet the listed criteria will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.