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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430d | nhpx38txna05005 fills | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,505 | +$26 +0.3% | 4 |
| 430d |  knrad | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,351 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 430d | Tylersbathtime | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,384 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 430d | 0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a3 | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,095 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | elPolloLoco | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,652 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | elPolloLoco | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,617 | +$37 +1.4% | 4 |
| 450d | Gennedy | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$63 +2.5% | 4 |
| 503d | Gennedy | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,293 | −$228 −10.0% | — |
| 528d | Robotanist | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$139 −6.1% | — |
| 532d | knrad | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$56 +4.6% | 4 |
| 539d |  just.some.guy | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,093 | −$201 −9.6% | — |
| 540d | kwienz | Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$352 +35% | 4 |
BabyYoda121,016 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is officially sworn in as a sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the House of Commons of Canada between April 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary source for resolution will be the official records of the Parliament of Canada (https://www.ourcommons.ca/Members/en), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.