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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510d |  imtiredb0ss2 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,129 | −$44 −1.1% | — |
| 510d | Ordon | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,695 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 510d |  HNIC3 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,156 | +$315 +3.9% | 5 |
| 510d |  Car3 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,327 | +$1,257 +29% | 4 |
| 511d | Idle-Republic2 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,627 | +$396 +8.6% | 5 |
| 513d |  Debosnys | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$65 +3.3% | 5 |
| 515d | Up-Down2 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,712 | +$700 +26% | 5 |
| 515d |  Serega-pro | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$377 +25% | 5 |
| 518d | imtiredb0ss2 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$740 +32% | 4 |
| 519d |  MisTKy3 | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$491 −45% | — |
| 519d | JRMOsp | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$599 −60% | — |
| 520d | nostradamus-markets | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | +$667 +25% | 4 |
| 520d |  Dropper | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$481 +47% | 4 |
| 521d | HNIC2 fills | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $4,461 | −$4,461 −100% | 4 |
| 521d | skullface791 | Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$272 +22% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Qatar formally transfers ownership or long-term use rights of a Boeing 747-8 aircraft, or a substantially similar luxury aircraft, to either Donald Trump, the Trump Organization, a Trump-affiliated foundation, trust, or nonprofit, or to the U.S. government (including but not limited to the U.S. Air Force) by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying transfer must be confirmed either by official statements from both the Qatari government and the Trump side (including the Trump Organization or relevant U.S. government agency), or by a consensus of credible reporting indicating that such a transfer occurred. The primary resolution source will be official Qatari and U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
