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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605d | Monster24 | Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 609d | yyyyyyy | Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$53 +3.7% | 4 |
| 609d | yoyo753 | Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | −$108 −7.3% | — |
| 638d | 38388493383 | Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,325 | +$836 +25% | 4 |
On January 21, Ross Ulbricht (a.k.a. Dread Pirate Roberts) received a pardon from Donald Trump, prompting @AutismCapital to tweet "Absolutely freaking STOKED for the inevitable Ross Ulbricht Joe Rogan podcast." You can see that tweet here: https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1881855487337218072 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ross Ulbricht is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Ulbricht recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.