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Polymarket wallet 0xbf1423ab0a737fb38eb683dbd3d8e36b383d986f · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2024 · also shown as Quarterly-Crisis
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 50% and 52% on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124,291 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,344 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,931 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$666 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.