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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d |  MMousse2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,099 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 692d | ronleebkkk | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,757 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 692d |  TheGekko-095 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,793 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 692d |  Eridpnc | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,386 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 692d |  Zyns | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo100¢ | $1,493 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 692d |  Thieel | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 692d |  cutiepie | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 692d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,617 | +$179 +1.9% | 4 |
| 692d | TarDigrade2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,684 | +$1,497 +56% | 6 |
| 692d | Pastel-Dozen | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | +$48 +3.1% | 4 |
| 693d |  rioderoy2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $4,535 | −$4,531 −100% | — |
| 693d |  Hamapo8 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $8,619 | −$8,619 −100% | 10 |
| 693d | Table34LightMouse | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$104 +8.7% | 7 |
| 693d | pwd | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$420 −34% | — |
| 693d |  sigh3 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,158 | −$707 −17% | — |
| 693d |  DumplingBMF2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,318 | −$1,545 −47% | — |
| 693d | Pravda3 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $6,182 | −$5,234 −85% | — |
| 693d | Hamapo3 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $5,333 | +$5,333 +100% | — |
| 693d |  Erasmus. | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$189 +13% | 7 |
| 694d |  AuthenticDemigod2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,165 | +$1,617 +39% | 4 |
| 694d |  NeonDrift99 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$1,006 +31% | 8 |
| 694d | 881112 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | −$616 −42% | — |
| 694d |  BazzForReal | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$458 −42% | — |
| 694d | rioderoy2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | +$1,035 +42% | 9 |
| 695d | TheGekko-095 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,726 | +$1,120 +41% | 9 |
| 695d |  GoriIIa | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $7,043 | +$3,628 +52% | 9 |
| 695d | araaaatt3 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $4,919 | −$5,514 −112% | — |
| 695d | pwd | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$533 +43% | 9 |
| 695d | xvn2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $5,462 | +$2,844 +52% | 9 |
| 695d | araaaatt2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$1,953 +71% | 4 |
| 695d |  trumpetplayer | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$2,070 +100% | 9 |
| 696d | LoverBoy-194 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $3,289 | −$3,289 −100% | 6 |
| 696d |  pocahontasporker | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo32¢ → 100¢ | $2,267 | −$4,783 −211% | — |
| 697d | rofler | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,215 | −$2,215 −100% | 6 |
| 697d | cashcow3x3x | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,487 +149% | 6 |
| 697d | LesediLaRona | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | −$4,851 −297% | — |
| 697d | LesediLaRona | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,483 +116% | 7 |
| 697d | Max321 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 697d | Loveisasimple4 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $6,738 | −$6,738 −100% | 4 |
| 697d | fajlkdsjflaksdfjaslf | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo27¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$3,494 −277% | — |
| 698d | xcf3 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 6 |
| 698d | PlayHouse | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$1,374 −97% | — |
| 698d | BazzForReal | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$544 +54% | 6 |
| 698d | xDemolisherx3 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo30¢ → 100¢ | $6,317 | −$14,413 −228% | — |
| 699d | thetagains2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo42¢ → 100¢ | $3,025 | −$4,143 −137% | — |
| 699d | visi0n | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $5,209 | +$5,209 +100% | — |
| 700d | TarDigrade2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,580 | −$2,580 −100% | 4 |
| 700d | TarDigrade | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellNo43¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$1,568 −131% | — |
| 700d | araaaatt | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,137 | +$1,137 +100% | — |
| 701d | Limantas | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,516 | +$1,516 +100% | — |
| 701d | dikov | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,401 | +$1,401 +100% | — |
| 701d | acfet | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | +$1,047 +100% | — |
| 701d | xDemolisherx3 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $9,846 | +$11,535 +117% | 6 |
| 701d | xDemolisherx2 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $6,591 | +$6,591 +100% | — |
| 701d |  DianeFoxingtonEnjoyer | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | +$1,236 +100% | — |
| 702d |  manull4 fills | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $11,968 | +$11,968 +100% | — |
| 702d | GoriIIa | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $2,774 | +$2,774 +100% | — |
| 702d |  FUNDI | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | +$1,102 +100% | — |
| 702d | FUNDI | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,141 | −$1,141 −100% | 4 |
| 702d | DumplingBMF | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | SellYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,612 | +$1,612 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Zaporizkyi prospekt (H-15) and Minska vulytsia in Kurakhove Ukraine by November 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kurakhove+intersection.png Kurakhove Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kurakhove+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5RiWB9CBKnjC6hzt5 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.