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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | 100% | +65 pts | +39 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +16 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | +30 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441d |  VPutin | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,478 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 441d | Cal800 | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,807 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 441d | 7and1 | August 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,284 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 441d |  Flipadelphia | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,503 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 441d | Flipadelphia | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,668 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 441d | Flipadelphia | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,628 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 441d | rwo | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,961 | +$39 +0.4% | 4 |
| 441d |  Debosnys2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,423 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 441d | elPolloLoco | August 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,344 | +$49 +1.1% | 4 |
| 441d |  tsybka13 fills | August 31 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $34,611 | +$20,494 +59% | 4 |
| 441d | Debosnys3 fills | August 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $26,294 | +$402 +1.5% | 4 |
| 441d | zahex111 | August 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$37 −2.3% | — |
| 441d | D1bdub2 fills | August 31 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $11,160 | −$2,187 −20% | — |
| 441d |  SCHIZO-RELAY-PAYS-ME2 fills | August 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,870 | +$162 +1.5% | 4 |
| 441d | tsybka2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,638 | +$279 +6.0% | 4 |
| 441d |  Naichli | August 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,746 | +$342 +1.6% | 4 |
| 441d |  DumplingBMF2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,115 | +$1,765 +43% | 4 |
| 441d |  ondra1232 fills | August 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,670 | +$330 +4.3% | 4 |
| 441d | Foolish-Webpage2 fills | August 31 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $12,956 | −$7,353 −57% | — |
| 441d |  BigRabbit | August 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | −$55 −2.0% | — |
| 441d |  duderr2 fills | August 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$140 +4.2% | 4 |
| 441d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | August 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$40 +1.8% | 4 |
| 441d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 441d |  bizarroworld7 fills | December 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $26,777 | +$5,239 +20% | 4 |
| 441d | bizarroworld | August 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$225 +7.5% | 4 |
| 441d |  sayrus | August 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$130 +11% | 4 |
| 441d | Pravda4 fills | August 31 | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $9,715 | +$9,715 +100% | — |
| 441d | DumplingBMF | October 31 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$297 +21% | 4 |
| 441d | tsybka | October 31 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | −$611 −27% | — |
| 441d | 854A78434 fills | August 31 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $7,099 | −$7,099 −100% | 4 |
| 441d | jeyjeyjey | August 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 4 |
| 441d | TheManInTheSky | August 31 | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$1,170 −113% | — |
| 441d | Scottp1887 | August 31 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,401 | +$3,025 +89% | 4 |
| 441d | Scottp1887 | August 31 | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $3,395 | +$3,395 +100% | — |
| 442d | elPolloLoco | December 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$318 +19% | 4 |
| 442d | elPolloLoco | October 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$522 +35% | 4 |
| 442d |  siick2 fills | August 31 | SellNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,385 | +$2,385 +100% | — |
| 442d |  GoriIIa2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $4,603 | −$4,603 −100% | 4 |
| 442d | maksudaliev2 fills | August 31 | BuyYes19¢ → 100¢ | $2,736 | +$11,727 +429% | 10 |
| 443d |  ...j | August 31 | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | +$1,018 +100% | — |
| 443d | 7and1 | August 31 | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$2,604 +203% | 5 |
| 443d | xpr3 fills | August 31 | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $8,983 | +$18,655 +208% | 11 |
| 443d | Scottp1887 | August 31 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | −$1,398 −100% | 4 |
| 443d | DumplingBMF | December 31 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,264 | −$974 −23% | — |
| 443d |  x3560 | August 31 | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | +$1,323 +100% | — |
| 444d | Dearest-Aide3 fills | August 31 | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $4,644 | +$5,964 +128% | 6 |
| 444d | Dearest-Aide | December 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | +$157 +11% | 4 |
| 444d | duderr | August 31 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $2,720 | −$2,720 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | tsybka6 fills | August 31 | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $13,462 | +$13,462 +100% | — |
| 445d | ImHereForTheRewards | December 31 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | −$129 −9.9% | — |
| 445d | Melmelmel777 | August 31 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,799 | −$1,799 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | WEAP0N2 fills | August 31 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $4,039 | +$3,599 +89% | 4 |
| 445d | CameronMoore2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $10,528 | −$10,528 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | x3560 | August 31 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | futureisyours3 fills | August 31 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $6,500 | −$6,500 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | braconier | August 31 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | vk7 | December 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,646 | −$230 −8.7% | — |
| 446d |  rickyvaughn | August 31 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | +$1,531 +89% | 4 |
| 446d |  Car | October 31 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$233 −18% | — |
| 446d | Lelush | August 31 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 4 |
polfund4,612 sharesThis is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Pokrovsk within a specified timeframe.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for August 31 means the market gives it about 100%.