| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 108,634 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $15,480 | −$9,463 −38% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100,292 | 27¢ → 13¢ | $12,536 | −$14,726 −54% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 60,000 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $9,900 | −$1,077 −9.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 50,000 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $8,250 | +$1,192 +17% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 200,916 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $7,333 | +$2,812 +62% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 254d | Yes | 75,993 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $7,181 | −$2,871 −29% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 18,500 | 29¢ → 38¢ | $6,938 | +$1,539 +29% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 10,000 | 47¢ → 62¢ | $6,150 | +$1,450 +31% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 20,000 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $5,900 | −$523 −8.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 14,544 | 22¢ → 30¢ | $4,291 | +$1,018 +31% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 10,000 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $4,250 | +$218 +5.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 10,000 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $4,150 | +$199 +5.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 10,000 | 26¢ → 38¢ | $3,750 | +$1,159 +45% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 10,149 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $3,502 | +$370 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 13,923 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $3,411 | +$233 +7.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 5,000 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $3,275 | +$575 +21% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 15,040 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $3,083 | −$331 −9.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 25,000 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $2,875 | +$449 +18% |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 254d | Yes | 94,888 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $2,515 | +$980 +64% |
| Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 254d | Yes | 200,208 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2,102 | +$210 +11% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 15d | Yes | 19,803 | 2¢ → 9¢ | $1,723 | +$1,371 +390% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 7,500 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $1,688 | −$380 −18% |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 254d | Yes | 27,877 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $1,575 | +$655 +71% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 10,500 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $1,523 | +$33 +2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 5,000 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $1,500 | −$48 −3.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 3,500 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $893 | −$94 −9.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,500 | 26¢ → 35¢ | $863 | +$213 +33% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,499 | 26¢ → 32¢ | $787 | +$144 +22% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,000 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $770 | −$10 −1.3% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 17,962 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $727 | −$886 −55% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 8d | No | 1,000 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $710 | +$40 +6.0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 199,121 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $697 | −$1,467 −68% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,500 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $663 | +$78 +13% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 2,500 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $663 | +$38 +6.0% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 2,500 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $650 | +$25 +4.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,000 | 53¢ → 63¢ | $630 | +$100 +19% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 42d | Yes | 8,215 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $534 | +$41 +8.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,833 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $496 | +$36 +7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,546 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $484 | +$20 +4.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,692 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $471 | +$13 +2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 734 | 54¢ → 59¢ | $429 | +$31 +7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,000 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $385 | +$25 +7.1% |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 250,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $375 | −$125 −25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 500 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $360 | +$20 +5.9% |
| Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 2,500 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $338 | −$38 −10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 15,000 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $330 | −$2,670 −89% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,500 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $325 | +$74 +30% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 34,095 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $324 | −$5,575 −95% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,000 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $315 | +$15 +5.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 3d | No | 5,000 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $293 | −$158 −35% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,241 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $289 | −$47 −14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,000 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $255 | −$13 −4.9% |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 250,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $250 | −$250 −50% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 3,000 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $240 | −$30 −11% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 269 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $240 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3,908 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $203 | −$774 −79% |
| Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 254d | Yes | 10,516 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $195 | +$5 +2.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,472 | 3¢ → 12¢ | $171 | +$131 +330% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 500 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $162 | −$7 −4.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,000 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $140 | +$20 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,070 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $134 | +$15 +13% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 36,234 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $127 | +$18 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 210 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $104 | +$5 +5.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 330 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $88 | +$15 +20% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $85 | −$15 −15% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 381 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $78 | +$3 +3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 381 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $72 | +$4 +5.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 2d | No | 2,500 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $59 | −$141 −71% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 15d | Yes | 199 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $52 | +$8 +18% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 904 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $51 | +$2 +3.7% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 1,053 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $47 | −$37 −44% |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 15d | Yes | 152 | 14¢ → 28¢ | $42 | +$21 +96% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 14d | Yes | 93 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $40 | −$4 −8.5% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 15d | Yes | 114 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $30 | +$3 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 149 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $23 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 227 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $22 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 73d | No | 69 | 49¢ → 25¢ | $17 | −$17 −50% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?Ends in 3d | Yes | 17,877 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $9 | −$564 −98% |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,055 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$1 −12% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 42¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$15 −73% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 42 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 15d | Yes | 45 | 5¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$2 +104% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 104d | No | 5 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +43% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 26 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 13 | 20¢ → 26¢ | $3 | +$1 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 15 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $3 | −$1 −30% |
| Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 208d | Yes | 4 | 35¢ → 47¢ | $2 | +$0 +33% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 42d | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 254d | Yes | 69 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 254d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 42¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$4 −81% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $0 | +$0 +32% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,238 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$960 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51,971 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,708 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 261 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,236 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$268 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,409 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,879 −100% |
