Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 24 | 0% | −94 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 15 | 100% | +5 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | −6 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 20 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 3 | 100% | +99 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 343d | MAGA.ONE | November 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,609 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d | November 15 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,672 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 344d | braghs344 fills | November 15 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,967 | +$480 +5.4% | 4 |
| 345d | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | +$27 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 345d | Medium-Tenant | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$77 +1.0% | 4 |
| 347d | November 15 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$25 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 352d | 22BB | November 15 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | −$108 −7.6% | — |
| 353d | 22BB | November 15 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,781 | +$79 +4.4% | 4 |
| 353d | Callafriendtoday | November 15 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$411 +5.1% | 4 |
| 358d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,931 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 358d | burnhill | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$176 +2.2% | 4 |
| 359d | October 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$63 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 361d | playerz2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,951 | +$271 +9.2% | 4 |
| 362d | Snoorrason | October 31 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$209 −14% | — |
| 362d | October 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,588 | +$333 +13% | 4 | |
| 364d | 88blitzcrank | October 31 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,252 | −$1,252 −100% | 4 |
| 365d | October 31 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$453 +43% | 4 | |
| 365d | braghs34 | October 31 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | +$844 +67% | 4 |
| 365d | polipleb | October 24 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,415 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | October 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 365d | wisser2 fills | October 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,483 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 365d | braghs343 fills | October 24 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,039 | +$1,108 +14% | 4 |
| 365d | AZwater | October 24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 365d | October 24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 365d | Enkhmend6 | October 24 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$55 +4.4% | 4 |
| 365d | alex562 | October 24 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,832 | +$624 +16% | 4 |
| 365d | October 24 | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 | |
| 366d | Enkhmend6 | October 24 | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $2,342 | −$2,342 −100% | 5 |
| 366d | jdvs | October 24 | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $2,434 | −$2,434 −100% | 5 |
| 368d | Boboa2 | October 24 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,146 | −$1,146 −100% | 5 |
| 368d | October 24 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,359 | −$1,359 −100% | 5 | |
| 368d | AbsoTop | October 24 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,214 | −$1,214 −100% | 5 |
| 369d | October 20 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,251 | −$357 −8.4% | — | |
| 369d | quanterty | October 20 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,872 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 369d | Phatsuit | October 20 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,467 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | wowdontrug | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | Anonretard | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,371 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,416 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,294 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,227 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | PainStealer | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,935 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,085 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 369d | Pavelevel | October 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | October 20 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 369d | Bukaj0889 | October 20 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$31 +2.1% | 4 |
| 369d | Bukaj | October 20 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$42 +2.1% | 4 |
| 369d | cccurl | October 20 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | +$50 +2.1% | 4 |
| 371d | mrbutton | October 24 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,733 | −$1,733 −100% | 5 |
| 371d | October 20 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,763 | +$372 +7.8% | 4 | |
| 372d | jjw6 | October 20 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$112 +9.3% | 4 |
| 374d | quanterty | October 20 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$890 +18% | 7 |
| 374d | October 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,514 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 374d | Vibrant-Miracle | October 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,648 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 374d | October 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 374d | October 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 374d | Back-Restaurant | October 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$24 +1.3% | 4 |
| 374d | nonkenny90 | October 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sora iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", on October 3, 2025, 12 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". In the "Top Charts" section under "Free Apps", you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). The Sora app can be found here: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/sora-by-openai/id6744034028
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for October 24 means the market gives it about 0%.