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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 966d | professorx | Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 972d |  ImJustKen6 fills | Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $11,827 | +$5,734 +48% | 20 |
| 975d |  50Whence | Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$34 +2.6% | 20 |
| 997d | Thallium2 fills | Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,615 | −$2,615 −100% | 20 |
| 1003d | ImJustKen | Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 20 |
| 1008d | Thallium | Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | SellYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,312 | +$1,312 +100% | — |
If any Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between December 26, 2023, and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.