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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $750 | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $735 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $745 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $730 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $720 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $725 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $755 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $705 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $710 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $740 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $715 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $765 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161d |  Gurupolimarket | ↓ $720 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,032 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,122 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | Gurupolimarket | ↓ $715 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,126 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d |  HorribleWork | ↑ $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,263 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | HorribleWork | ↑ $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | hermesss123 | ↓ $730 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$19 +1.2% | 4 |
| 161d | cryptothan | ↑ $750 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$37 +3.3% | 5 |
| 161d |  thanksforplayin | ↑ $750 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | −$71 −4.2% | — |
| 162d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $725 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$51 +4.8% | 5 |
| 162d |  nolygon | ↓ $720 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$34 −2.8% | — |
| 162d | cryptothan3 fills | ↑ $750 | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,289 | +$3,289 +100% | — |
| 162d | cryptothan3 fills | ↑ $750 | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $3,393 | −$3,393 −100% | 9 |
| 162d | bean125 | ↓ $710 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,195 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d | bean125 | ↓ $705 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,486 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d |  TimRob | ↑ $750 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 9 |
| 164d | sdhyky | ↓ $730 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$1,119 +90% | 9 |
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $750 means the market gives it about 0%.