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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +10 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112d | Trustinghorse | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,367 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d |  Rex416 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,026 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | 0x8931…a90c | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$155 +11% | 6 |
| 113d | tsekinming01 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,008 | −$742 −25% | — |
| 114d | thoodr | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,552 | +$44 +1.0% | 4 |
RudyStylez1,530 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding takes place at any location in Manhattan, New York City. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.