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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d | FoldingNuts272 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $149,151 | +$149 +0.1% | 10 |
| 542d |  Debosnys4 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,460 | +$184 +1.8% | 10 |
| 542d | LBZone3 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,718 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 542d | upp7 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $33,528 | +$2,099 +6.3% | 10 |
| 542d |  scottilicious8 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $213,696 | −$554 −0.3% | — |
| 542d | noneofyourbud | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,437 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 542d | burrito3383 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $63,570 | −$124 −0.2% | — |
| 542d | lug2 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $11,598 | −$23 −0.2% | — |
| 542d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $41,742 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 542d | denizz5 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,692 | −$123 −1.0% | — |
| 543d |  PVMME | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,315 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 543d | ICountElectricSheep | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,107 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 543d | Fisher-Johnson4 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $29,782 | −$1,428 −4.8% | — |
| 543d | slight- | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,403 | +$25 +0.2% | 10 |
| 543d |  czdog | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,490 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 543d | PVMME | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,574 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 543d | poligott | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,988 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 543d | ChampaLiberation | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,246 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 543d | spark1 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,490 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 543d |  Trumputin | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,894 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 543d | big.bitch | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $14,217 | −$43 −0.3% | — |
| 543d | Joonwon | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,259 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 543d | Cryp | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,460 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 543d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $13,145 | +$1,179 +9.0% | 10 |
| 543d |  flovertaco | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 543d | TheGood5 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,848 | +$699 +7.1% | 10 |
| 543d |  leCommissaire | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 543d | Jerry4242 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,272 | −$108 −2.5% | — |
| 543d |  ScamWick | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$26 +2.6% | 10 |
| 543d | cigarettes4 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,408 | +$502 +4.8% | 10 |
| 543d | 0xae363845352952CDEa784F581E9EE99a219c8Fb | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,066 | +$760 +5.8% | 10 |
| 543d | Sameera95 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 12 |
| 543d | scottilicious28 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $221,850 | +$16,204 +7.3% | 10 |
| 543d | VLONA | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$71 +6.9% | 10 |
| 543d |  Dropper3 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,610 | +$830 +9.6% | 10 |
| 543d | amulder95 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 11 |
| 543d | toytrucks2 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,599 | +$383 +11% | 10 |
| 543d | spacecowboy24 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 18 |
| 543d | Gringojimbo | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,880 | −$1,880 −100% | 14 |
| 543d |  7833 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | −$98 −7.1% | — |
| 543d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $45,471 | +$2,841 +6.2% | 10 |
| 543d |  debased | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | +$182 +6.4% | 10 |
| 543d |  Naichli | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$133 +6.4% | 10 |
| 544d | Cryp | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$97 +6.4% | 10 |
| 544d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,535 | +$1,565 +35% | 10 |
| 544d | Chahal12643 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $3,910 | −$3,910 −100% | 20 |
| 544d | big.bitch5 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,854 | +$647 +5.5% | 10 |
| 544d | NikuX | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 15 |
| 544d | qwrt | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,780 | −$2,780 −100% | 18 |
| 544d | JishWa4 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $14,598 | +$1,601 +11% | 10 |
| 544d | Bot1234567894 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $15,937 | −$15,937 −100% | 36 |
| 544d | Tylersbathtime24 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $172,833 | +$18,515 +11% | 10 |
| 544d | Occasionalbettor | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$114 +5.6% | 10 |
| 544d | kaj43 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $39,695 | −$2,462 −6.2% | — |
| 544d | gazaaa | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$68 +5.4% | 12 |
| 544d |  Sivert | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,499 | +$501 +5.3% | 12 |
| 544d | dmark81 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,264 | +$301 +5.7% | 11 |
| 544d | Chaze | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,784 | −$1,784 −100% | 22 |
| 544d | AZwater7 fills | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $26,869 | +$2,361 +8.8% | 11 |
| 544d |  TheFund | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$189 +6.7% | 12 |
FrozenRipper122,116 sharesThe next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party of Canada wins a majority of seats (170 or more) in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.