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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601d | SweetChariot | Will the Firefly Lander Successfully Land on the Moon on Sunday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,475 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 601d | taerv534 | Will the Firefly Lander Successfully Land on the Moon on Sunday? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$164 +12% | 8 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Firefly Aerospace Blue Ghost lunar lander successfully lands on the surface of the Moon by March 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A successful landing is defined as Blue Ghost making contact with the Moon without crashing, being destroyed upon impact, or tipping over. The lander must remain upright and stable upon touchdown. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Firefly Aerospace or NASA confirming whether Blue Ghost successfully landed. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.