| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 23,357 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $712 | +$557 +359% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 316 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $295 | +$75 +34% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 282 | 41¢ → 85¢ | $238 | +$123 +106% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 192 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $185 | +$31 +20% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3,506 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $163 | −$40 −20% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 152 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $147 | +$25 +21% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 145 | 50¢ → 96¢ | $138 | +$66 +91% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 141 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $129 | +$26 +26% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 131 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $125 | +$25 +25% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 804d | Yes | 352 | 49¢ → 36¢ | $125 | −$47 −27% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 111 | 59¢ → 97¢ | $108 | +$43 +66% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 112 | 49¢ → 90¢ | $100 | +$45 +82% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 28,576 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $100 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 5,985 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $99 | +$39 +64% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 384 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $94 | +$22 +31% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 96 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $94 | +$13 +16% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 96 | 53¢ → 91¢ | $87 | +$36 +70% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 44,687 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $67 | −$39 −37% |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 69 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $66 | +$8 +13% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 69 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $65 | +$20 +44% |
| Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 438d | Yes | 2,816 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $65 | +$50 +345% |
| Is Earth flat?Ends in 73d | No | 64 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $64 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 64 | 64¢ → 97¢ | $62 | +$21 +51% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 247 | 53¢ → 24¢ | $60 | −$70 −54% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 35,653 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $53 | −$579 −92% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 60 | 13¢ → 86¢ | $52 | +$44 +545% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,024 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $51 | +$27 +108% |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 217 | 17¢ → 24¢ | $51 | +$13 +35% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 56 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $51 | +$13 +34% |
| Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 84 | 33¢ → 61¢ | $51 | +$23 +84% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 52 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$10 +25% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,853 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $48 | +$9 +23% |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 55 | 39¢ → 86¢ | $48 | +$26 +123% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $47 | +$7 +18% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $47 | +$8 +20% |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 53 | 42¢ → 85¢ | $45 | +$23 +104% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 208 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $44 | −$7 −14% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,216 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $38 | −$28 −42% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 100 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $38 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 36 | 57¢ → 96¢ | $34 | +$14 +67% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 73d | No | 36 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$8 +32% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 34 | 53¢ → 96¢ | $33 | +$14 +80% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 240 | 26¢ → 13¢ | $30 | −$33 −52% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 31 | 72¢ → 96¢ | $30 | +$8 +34% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 644 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $29 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 48 | 48¢ → 60¢ | $29 | +$6 +24% |
| Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 138 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $28 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 235 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $28 | +$10 +56% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 29 | 63¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$8 +45% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoEnds in 73d | Nothing | 27 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $26 | +$5 +23% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 77d | OpenAI | 288 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $24 | −$42 −63% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 27d | Yes | 29 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | No | 64 | 32¢ → 37¢ | $23 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Ends in 42d | No | 24 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $23 | +$5 +29% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 23 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$5 +27% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 64 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.8% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $21 | −$40 −66% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 756 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $20 | −$11 −35% |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 378 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $19 | −$16 −46% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 6h | No | 17 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $17 | +$3 +21% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 16 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 88¢ | $14 | +$4 +37% |
| Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 198 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$7 −33% |
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 14 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Cornell President out by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 169 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $13 | +$7 +108% |
| Will there be 0 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 352 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $13 | +$2 +24% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 14 | 39¢ → 89¢ | $12 | +$7 +128% |
| Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 14 | 64¢ → 89¢ | $12 | +$3 +38% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 12 | 54¢ → 97¢ | $12 | +$5 +78% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 48 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.1% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 73d | Yes | 192 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 104d | Yes | 32 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $9 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,024 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$8 −47% |
| Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | No | 12 | 48¢ → 72¢ | $9 | +$3 +50% |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 56 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 32 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 8 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 8 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.1% |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 56 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Ends in 73d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 8 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$1 +21% |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$2 −24% |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 438d | Yes | 280 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $6 | +$4 +134% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 104d | No | 8 | 56¢ → 73¢ | $6 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 512 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | +$2 +38% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 804d | No | 8 | 32¢ → 65¢ | $5 | +$3 +102% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | No | 5 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 157 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$15 −76% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Will Alberta join the US?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,588 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | +$2 +50% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +11% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 64¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 7,723 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$13 −77% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 64 | 30¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$15 −80% |
| Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 6 | 48¢ → 62¢ | $4 | +$1 +29% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 73d | Yes | 80 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will there be 4 or more US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 64 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.7% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 30 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$1 −26% |