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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1061d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,107 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1061d |  50Whence2 fills | Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,797 | +$181 +3.8% | 20 |
| 1064d | W]$_u45HU6^ | Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$312 +19% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.