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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 15 | 100% | +23 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 30 | 100% | +9 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +19 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136d |  DirkDiggler67 | September 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$13 +0.9% | 10 |
| 136d | Fulgurator | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$20 +1.1% | 10 |
| 150d | Lisbon2 fills | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,926 | +$15 +0.3% | 10 |
| 154d |  LeopoldArschenbrenner | May 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,008 | +$320 +2.3% | 10 |
justF800 shares
S.Cooper200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 0%.