| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 685 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $585 | +$85 +17% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,285 | 39¢ → 44¢ | $567 | +$67 +13% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,632 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $528 | +$28 +5.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 617 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $493 | −$7 −1.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 817 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $456 | −$44 −8.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,859 | 27¢ → 15¢ | $270 | −$230 −46% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 232 | 70¢ → 30¢ | $69 | −$94 −58% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 40¢ | $20 | −$16 −44% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 20¢ | $10 | −$22 −69% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 100 | 43¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$36 −85% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 96¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$4 −75% |
| Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 44¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$8 −92% |
| Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −83% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −65% |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 40¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Rae Huang finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$384 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 713 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| James Comey charges dropped by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 156 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs One Coin (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | One Coin | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Austin Beutner finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time (BO5) - MLBB Continental Championships PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Virtus.pro | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 625 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 445 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 190 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 509 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will FULL SENSE win Valorant Masters London 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$316 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,774 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$692 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 86 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Bigetron by Vitality | 365 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 630 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 294 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 364 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 966 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Jimmy Panetta advance from the CA-19 primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GMR Solutions' market cap be less than $4.5B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Vance say "Decolonize" during Bangor visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Vance say "Bipartisan" during Bangor visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Chirayu Rana divorced?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Virtus.pro | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 152 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Vance say "Undocumented" during Bangor visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
