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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | poomypants | Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,188 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d | Mammoth-Fratricide | Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,197 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 296d |  pmtosat- | Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,606 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 296d | iamkingofbay | Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 296d |  beenraping | Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,763 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
yhj754ghfhfg250 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Times’ Square New Year’s Eve ball drop ball does not begin its scheduled New Year’s Eve countdown descent by January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be broadcast footage of the Times’ Square New Year’s Eve ball drop.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.