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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will the next Pope be gay? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,954 | +$45 +0.6% | 4 |
| 550d | nostradamus-markets | Will the next Pope be gay? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 550d |  LlamaLoco0000 | Will the next Pope be gay? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $39,496 | +$399 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next individual elected as pope is widely and credibly identified as gay. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.