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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  Flipadelphia | Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,833 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 313d |  tomatosauce2 | Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$9 +0.8% | 20 |
| 348d |  Patroclus | Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | −$41 −2.0% | — |
| 348d | Patroclus | Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$66 +3.6% | 20 |
| 438d |  ImJustKen | Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$70 +5.3% | 20 |
mystupidchudlife569 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a majority opinion that (1) expressly overrules Obergefell v. Hodges (2015) or (2) holds the Constitution does not guarantee a right to same-sex marriage by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Narrowings or limitations short of (1) or (2) do not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.