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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | rwo | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,668 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d | cqs | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,499 | −$41 −0.9% | — |
| 323d | alwaysOn | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$91 +5.8% | 4 |
| 325d |  yuri7 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$94 +5.9% | 4 |
| 333d | Gosmo | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$187 +16% | 4 |
| 343d |  FamasDad | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$55 −4.9% | — |
| 348d | squirtl | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,966 | −$417 −5.2% | — |
| 376d | cezarn132 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,777 | −$730 −7.5% | — |
| 393d | Smallpeepee | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,462 | +$221 +6.4% | 4 |
| 400d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$88 +8.7% | 4 |
| 411d | cezarn1323 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,800 | +$814 +9.3% | 4 |
| 420d | KrackenSruster | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,738 | −$345 −20% | — |
| 425d | KrackenSruster | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$789 +28% | 4 |
| 440d | cqs2 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $8,427 | +$3,335 +40% | 4 |
| 441d |  Serega-pro3 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $8,242 | −$3,463 −42% | — |
| 505d |  BuckMySalls5 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $11,506 | +$11,506 +100% | — |
| 508d | Serega-pro2 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,248 +36% | 4 |
| 510d |  x3560 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,160 | +$1,440 +28% | 4 |
| 523d | montebet | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$594 +50% | 4 |
| 525d | amused853 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $6,483 | −$4,226 −65% | — |
| 525d | amused853 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $6,011 | +$3,879 +65% | 4 |
| 530d | WhaleZone2 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $3,503 | −$3,503 −100% | 8 |
| 536d |  just.some.guy | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$556 −49% | — |
| 547d | squirtl | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$3,633 +76% | 4 |
| 549d | Generator | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,106 | −$2,106 −100% | 4 |
| 549d | BuckMySalls2 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $17,601 | −$17,601 −100% | 4 |
| 559d | Ultheris | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $12,225 | +$12,225 +100% | — |
| 560d | Myndor | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $34,904 | +$12,263 +35% | 4 |
| 573d | eastpak | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$526 +52% | 4 |
| 581d | ArchBishopSusan | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 4 |
| 585d | BuckMySalls2 fills | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,067 | −$1,456 −36% | — |
| 588d | Eryndorix | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $11,210 | +$11,210 +100% | — |
| 589d | Krythos | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $31,904 | +$11,210 +35% | 4 |
| 590d | BuckMySalls | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,925 | +$1,885 +48% | 4 |
TimeTraveler2,317 shares
JoNnyThroX17 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.