Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 13 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 11 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 14 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 10 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 12 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 9 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | February 14 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,344 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 252d | pelik | February 14 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,977 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 252d | Michael52892 fills | February 14 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,011 | +$35 +0.9% | 10 |
| 252d | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,319 | +$63 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 252d | Trustinghorse2 fills | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,235 | +$20 +0.2% | 10 |
| 252d | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,210 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 252d | February 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,831 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 252d | Michael52892 fills | February 13 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,829 | +$114 +4.0% | 11 |
| 252d | February 13 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$400 +25% | 10 | |
| 252d | February 13 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$303 +29% | 10 | |
| 252d | February 13 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 10 | |
| 253d | Michael5289 | February 12 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,237 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | WhenYouFindMe | February 12 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 254d | Michael52892 fills | February 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,809 | +$70 +1.2% | 10 |
| 254d | February 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,391 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 254d | notawinner99 | February 11 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$45 +2.3% | 10 |
| 254d | February 11 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | −$283 −23% | — | |
| 254d | February 11 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | +$267 +12% | 12 | |
| 254d | February 11 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,804 | +$196 +11% | 12 | |
| 255d | February 10 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 255d | February 10 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,852 | +$507 +10% | 12 | |
| 255d | Hospitable-Tool | February 10 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 12 |
| 256d | February 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 13 means the market gives it about 100%.