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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1008d |  funnyday3 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,875 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 1008d |  50Whence | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 1009d | funnyday2 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,182 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1009d | ky2349 | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo100¢ | $4,637 | +$23 +0.5% | 4 |
| 1009d | CrownPrince | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,825 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 1009d | 50Whence | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 |
| 1009d |  ImJustKen4 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,354 | +$478 +6.5% | 4 |
| 1010d | Warlasfut1 | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,793 | +$63 +1.7% | 4 |
| 1011d | OracleMachine | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$56 +4.0% | 5 |
| 1011d |  LBZcapital | Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$62 −5.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.