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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 956d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,220 | +$137 +4.3% | 4 |
| 956d |  aenews23 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,793 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 958d |  50Whence2 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,870 | +$130 +2.7% | 4 |
| 958d | pkz | Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$65 −4.6% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between March 1, and March 23, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.