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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 956d |  ImJustKen | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,421 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 956d | professorx | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,493 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 956d |  50Whence6 fills | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $11,475 | +$1,403 +12% | 4 |
| 956d |  aenews25 fills | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,110 | +$93 +0.3% | 4 |
| 956d |  aebonds | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,387 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 957d | Ponj2 fills | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,016 | +$137 +4.5% | 4 |
| 957d | 50Whence2 fills | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,270 | −$193 −8.5% | — |
| 957d | Anon5566 | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$103 +6.3% | 4 |
| 958d |  ANudeEgg | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$120 +10.0% | 4 |
| 959d | KrampusChan | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,970 | −$1,970 −100% | 4 |
| 963d | RFK? | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,383 | +$1,383 +100% | — |
| 963d | OracleMachine | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $2,765 | −$2,765 −100% | 4 |
| 995d | poverty2 fills | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $9,423 | −$9,423 −100% | 4 |
| 1001d |  truthteller | US government shutdown by Mar 9? | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,658 | +$1,658 +100% | — |
Qwan628 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 24 and March 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.