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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1070d |  Same-Ping | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,768 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1070d | jkjik | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,664 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1072d | GummiMummi2 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,635 | +$61 +0.3% | 4 |
| 1072d |  50Whence2 fills | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$106 +1.2% | 4 |
| 1072d | SCD-807 | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 1073d |  aenews-915 | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo100¢ | $2,212 | +$11 +0.5% | 4 |
| 1074d | 9ajsad | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$304 +1.6% | 4 |
| 1074d | Mara | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$47 +3.2% | 4 |
| 1074d | W]$_u45HU6^ | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$46 +3.2% | 4 |
| 1074d |  ANudeEgg | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$61 +4.3% | 4 |
| 1074d |  moyai | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 1077d |  Gaeten-Dugas | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,793 | +$1,793 +100% | — |
| 1080d |  ImJustKen | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$1,231 +70% | 4 |
| 1080d |  tjrick | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$904 +70% | 4 |
| 1081d | jkjik | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 4 |
| 1081d | Gaeten-Dugas | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,801 | −$1,801 −100% | 4 |
| 1081d | vacay | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$879 +84% | 4 |
| 1085d | jkjik | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 4 |
| 1093d | xxxxxxxxxx | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between October 4 and November 19, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.