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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 848d | professorx | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,707 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 848d | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,813 | +$1,212 +32% | 4 | |
| 848d | big6big8 | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,843 | −$1,843 −100% | 4 |
| 848d | Pluto-810 | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | +$505 +22% | 4 |
| 848d | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$508 +39% | 4 | |
| 848d | quackerandqj | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,834 +122% | 4 |
| 848d | wallahim | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 849d | moonkist5 fills | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $7,083 | +$3,025 +43% | 6 |
| 850d | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$554 +39% | 9 | |
| 854d | lug | Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$982 +49% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Joe Biden shake hands at any point immediately before, during, or immediately after the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, currently scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, it must occur within the room that the debate takes place in. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.