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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | WigglyWaffles | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,967 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,940 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d |  Car2 fills | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,761 | +$16 +0.4% | 10 |
| 716d | D.J.Pump | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$26 −1.6% | — |
| 716d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | −$116 −2.7% | — |
| 716d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,398 | +$79 +1.5% | 10 |
| 716d | AL1992 | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,860 | −$763 −16% | — |
| 717d | sdgwerb | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | Spice-511 | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$15 +1.1% | 10 |
| 717d |  Wickier | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$20 +1.8% | 10 |
| 717d | DavidKimBaller | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$20 +0.8% | 10 |
| 717d | Nabeel0505 | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$34 +1.0% | 10 |
| 717d | Carsonben1 | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$262 +26% | 10 |
| 717d | IdealCorgi2 fills | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,431 | +$1,184 +35% | 10 |
| 717d |  Parz1vaI | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$269 +20% | 10 |
| 717d | AL1992 | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$623 +12% | 10 |
| 717d | rsftwer | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$347 +22% | 10 |
| 717d |  50Whence | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$375 +23% | 10 |
| 717d |  ImJustKen | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,879 | +$970 +25% | 10 |
| 718d | elmoelmo | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | +$650 +28% | 16 |
| 719d | BowlOfPunch | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$664 +30% | 14 |
| 720d | ImJustKen | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | −$1,824 −100% | 18 |
| 721d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,227 | +$456 +20% | 11 |
| 721d | 0xfe91…70ff | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,604 | +$901 +25% | 11 |
| 721d | ClassicSilence | Trump claims victory before AP calls the election? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$511 +34% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump claims victory in the 2024 US presidential election before the Associated Press (AP) declares a winner. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For example, Trump's 2020 election night speech would qualify as declaring victory (https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-2020-election-night-speech-transcript), where he stated "Frankly, we did win this election." Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine whether Trump declared victory in the statement.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.