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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679d | Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,747 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 679d | Ordon | Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | +$20 +1.1% | 4 |
| 679d | Caslor | Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$36 +2.3% | 4 |
| 679d | Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,091 | +$503 +16% | 6 |
Over the last week several large unidentified flying objects have been recorded flying over New Jersey and New York. It has been broadly reported that they are drones: (https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1867398877067854160) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a public statement regarding these "mystery drones" by Sunday, December 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a public statement includes any social media post (e.g. via Truth Social or X @realDonaldTrump) or public statements (e.g. a comment to the press, a speech given at an event). The primary resolution source will be the qualifying statement itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.